Crypto Rise Explained: FOMC Updates, ETF Movements and More Factors to Consider

Key Points

• The FOMC meeting and Donald Trump’s post hint at a potential end to QT in April, fueling positive sentiment in the crypto markets.
• Despite rising optimism, rates remained unchanged and high interest rates are seen as essential to combat inflation.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and a post by Donald Trump suggested a potential end to Quantitative Tightening (QT) in April. This sparked positive sentiment among cryptocurrency investors.

The crypto markets responded well to the anticipation of lower monetary system rates in the medium term. Market optimism was also fueled by the less stringent than expected comments from the FOMC and the increased activity in traditional financial markets.

Interest Rates and Economic Growth

However, interest rates remained constant, with no explicit signs of potential reductions. Jerome Powell, the Chair of the Federal Reserve, stressed the importance of high interest rates in fighting inflation. He also lowered economic growth forecasts, indicating better market conditions.

He attributed the economic challenges to the aggressive policies enacted under President Donald Trump’s administration. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, noted on X (formerly Twitter) that Powell had accomplished his goals, leading to an anticipated end of QT on April 1st.

Market Expectations and Crypto Summit

Market expectations were influenced by forecasts of increasing inflation rates. Prolonged high rates were expected to have bearish implications. Analyst Benjamin Cowen confirmed on X that QT was still in progress. He responded to Hayes by stating that QT is not “essentially over” on April 1st.

Reports of a crypto summit featuring Trump, Michael Saylor, co-founder of Strategy, and Brad Garlinghouse, the CEO of Ripple Labs, boosted recent market gains. The summit focused on crypto and institutional adoption. The launch of Renaus Tactical by Trump Media executives, aiming to raise $179M via a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) for blockchain investments, further fueled bullish sentiment.

Increased organizational interest in crypto continues to raise confidence across the sector. Expectations of more crypto-friendly government policies also contributed to the market gains.

Market Sentiment and ETF Flows

In addition, the crypto markets benefited as the demand for short positions decreased, and large short closures signaled the dissolution of bearish bets. At the time of writing, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index had risen to 31 points from its previous level of 15 during the last week, indicating growing trader positivity and the emergence of bullish market sentiment.

Bitcoin spot ETFs saw an inflow of $11.7984 million, reflecting increased demand. In contrast, Ethereum (ETH) spot ETFs recorded their eleventh consecutive day of outflows, totaling $11.7459 million. With Bitcoin leading the crypto markets, this trend signaled strong bullish sentiment.