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Macro risk on uptrend still intact for both equities and crypto; imagine derisking AFTER the biggest damage has been done. Nah brah, we take the risk here and conquer. 🐂

Despite the bloodbath on the market, both $KTA (L1/RWA) and $TIBBIR (DEFAI) went up since the quoted tweet. Both are on @base , both are utility projects, both have massive backings. These prices won't last for long.🐂

Bitcoin begins the week against a backdrop of economic and technical uncertainties. While the symbolic threshold of 82,000 dollars struggles to hold, investors are closely watching market signals. Amid geopolitical tensions, worrying technical indicators, and hopes for a bullish reversal, here are 5 elements to closely monitor this week. In addition to Bitcoin’s dominance, which falls to 58.8% , the first cryptocurrency shows signs of technical fragility this week… Investors are holding their breath. In a context filled with uncertainties, several key signals could influence its trajectory. Here’s what to understand. The weekly Bitcoin chart recently displayed a “bearish engulfing” candle, a feared technical signal indicating a potential downward reversal. This figure formed as BTC finished the week around 81,200 dollars, its lowest level in two weeks. Traders remain cautious, citing compression between the 50-day and 50-week exponential moving averages, which typically precede explosive movements. Some see this decline of Bitcoin as a mere breath in a larger bullish market, while others read it as a loss of momentum. The market is on edge, and the evolution of this technical figure could set the tone for April. On Tuesday, April 2, the United States could strike hard with a new wave of tariffs, dubbed by Donald Trump as “Liberation Day”. Up to 1.5 trillion dollars in imports could be affected, according to The Kobeissi Letter. This trade hardening could create a shockwave on risk assets, including Bitcoin. Additionally, a busy week on the macroeconomic front awaits: employment data, speeches from Jerome Powell, and key publications from the FED could significantly influence market perceptions. The index of economic uncertainty is reaching new heights, making reactions unpredictable. Traders remain on alert: this week could change everything. With a decline of 12.7% for the quarter, Bitcoin records its worst first quarter since 2018 . The drop since the January peak exceeds 30%, while gold continues to set records. However, according to Glassnode data, this correction remains modest compared to previous cycles, some having experienced drawdowns over 60%. Despite this relative underperformance, some analysts, like Daan Crypto Trades, believe the quarter “has not been that terrible.” The lack of volatility could actually favor a gradual restart, as soon as the macro context improves. But for now, caution prevails. The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value), used to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued, is currently trending towards its historical average. This decline reflects the exit from an overheating zone, which began after a “death cross” observed in early March. If this signal has often preceded price drops, it does not yet indicate a definitive bottom. According to analyst Yonsei Dent, the market is mimicking past behaviors but remains exposed to a new correction. In the absence of a clear signal of recovery, Bitcoin investors must remain cautious. However, a sustainable recovery could begin if the ratio rebounds after hitting its historical support. The “Coinbase Premium,” an indicator of the confidence of American investors, is once again approaching neutral territory. After a period marked by panic selling, this stabilization indicates renewed interest in Bitcoin in the United States. CryptoQuant emphasizes that this resilience against downward pressure could signal a trend reversal. A positive premium has historically accompanied sustainable bull market phases. If this dynamic is confirmed, it could mean that institutional buyers are back, ready to accumulate BTC at price levels they find attractive. This week, Bitcoin’s trajectory could oscillate between tension and opportunity. If the threshold of 80,000 dollars were to give way sustainably, a pullback to supports at 76,000 dollars or even 72,000 dollars could not be ruled out, particularly due to macroeconomic uncertainties and volatility induced by the new U.S. tariff measures. However, a stabilization of BTC above key moving averages could rekindle bullish momentum. Savvy investors should adopt a cautious approach these days: monitor volumes, avoid impulsive buying, and consider gradual entries into well-identified pullback zones. Patience will be key. This week is therefore poised to be decisive for Bitcoin, and the 80,000 dollar threshold remains the psychological level to watch. Amid trade tensions, ambiguous technical signals, and macroeconomic expectations, investors are navigating a fog of uncertainties. And to make matters worse in this already turbulent April, Bitcoin miners will face a major challenge, that could seriously affect their profitability .

As bitcoin wavers below $85,000, Michael Saylor, the iconoclastic figure of crypto, challenges the turmoil. His company, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), has just poured $1.9 billion into the purchase of 22,000 BTC. A gamble? More like a demonstration of strength. In a market shaken by Trump’s protectionist announcements and macroeconomic uncertainty, Saylor embodies an unwavering conviction: bitcoin remains the Holy Grail of digital assets. As investors panic over Trump’s tariff threats , scheduled for April 2, Saylor doubles down. By acquiring 22,048 BTC at $86,969 each, he exploits a decline seen as an opportunity, not a risk. With 528,000 BTC acquired for $35.63 billion, Strategy now holds 2.5% of the total supply. A record. The average purchase price ($67,458) and the unrealized gains ($7.7 billion) reveal a strategic patience. Saylor does not trade: he accumulates . Like a marathon runner, he ignores the sprinters exhausted by volatility. The announcement of the tariffs has fueled inflationary fears, weighing on risky assets. Yet, Saylor seems to be playing a different game. By buying before April 2, he bets on a broader narrative: bitcoin as a hedge against erratic monetary policies. A bold calculation, where digital gold outperforms traditional gold in the face of geopolitical shocks. Despite its unrealized gains, Strategy risks having to pay a minimum tax of 15% on its profits under the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act. A first for a publicly traded company. Ironically, this rule, designed to tax tech giants, hits a crypto pioneer. The Biden administration has hardened its stance against crypto assets, but the November election could change everything. Under Trump, the IRS could exempt bitcoin from this controversial taxation. A prospect that would justify Saylor’s steadfastness: by accumulating despite the risks, he bets on a political turnaround. This fiscal standoff extends beyond Strategy. By refusing to sell, Saylor sends a signal to regulators: bitcoin is not a speculative asset but a strategic pillar. An advocacy in action for institutional recognition. The recent decline of bitcoin is just an episode in its meteoric rise. Saylor, by buying $1.9 billion of BTC, reminds us of a forgotten truth: the greatest gains emerge from chaos. Bitcoin is not dead — it is recharging.

In the face of the stalemate of the conflict in Ukraine, Donald Trump is changing his tone and threatening Moscow with a heavy economic blow. The American president, until now measured towards the Kremlin, is now wielding the card of tariff sanctions on Russian oil. Indeed, the stated goal is to compel Vladimir Putin to move towards a ceasefire. A shocking statement that fractures diplomatic balances and elicits reactions even in European capitals, at a time when the slightest tension can redefine the global geopolitical chessboard. In a televised statement broadcast by NBC News, Donald Trump announced that he was considering imposing new taxes on Russia in the event of failed negotiations for a ceasefire in Ukraine. The American president, often perceived as conciliatory towards Vladimir Putin, has raised his voice this time: If Russia and I cannot reach an agreement to stop the bloodshed in Ukraine, and if I believe that it is Russia’s fault, I will impose secondary tariffs on oil. He specified that these taxes could rise to “25% to 50%”, depending on the extent of the blockages in discussions. Here are the key points of this announcement: This media appearance marks a turning point in Trump’s communication regarding the Ukrainian issue. It fits into a logic of maximum pressure, mobilizing American economic tools to influence the outcome of a conflict with major geostrategic implications. More than just a warning, Donald Trump’s comments were triggered by a controversial Russian proposal: to create a transitional government in Kiev. An idea described as “not the right direction” by the American president, who sees in this initiative an unacceptable attempt at political manipulation. This rejection marks a new red line in relations between the two powers and reflects a hardening of exchanges. The tone is rising between the two leaders whose relations had until now been marked by a certain tactical cordiality. This American stance has provoked mixed international reactions. On the European side, several officials fear that a hasty ceasefire could favor a reconstitution of Russian forces and rekindle threats against NATO countries. Far from being a diplomatic advance, this rhetorical escalation could conversely complicate mediation efforts. If Russia decides to respond to these threats by adapting its exports to other areas, or by tightening its energy alliances with China or India, it is the global balance of the oil market that could waver. The follow-up to this diplomatic confrontation remains uncertain, but the intentions are clear: Trump wants to influence the resolution of the Ukrainian conflict by wielding the economic threat. It remains to be seen whether this tariff pressure strategy will convince Moscow to yield ground or whether it will only further radicalize positions. For markets as well as for governments, the time is now for caution and observation of the upcoming developments of this high-intensity energy duel, in a context where Trump confirms his protectionist policy .