Will Bitcoin Price Crash to $25,000?
Bitcoin price has been struggling to reclaim its bullish momentum after peaking earlier this year. As of March 29, 2025, BTC price is trading around $84,122, showing signs of weakness following a period of consolidation. With investors anxiously eyeing potential downside levels, one burning question dominates the crypto space: Will Bitcoin crash to $25,000? This analysis decodes the current market structure, moving averages, RSI signals, and price action patterns to offer a realistic outlook for Bitcoin in the days ahead.
Looking at the daily chart , it’s evident that Bitcoin’s euphoric rally from late 2024 into early 2025 has faded significantly. After reaching highs near $110,000, the price began a series of lower highs and lower lows—a classic signal of a weakening trend. What’s more concerning is that Bitcoin has failed to reclaim its 50-day simple moving average (currently near $89,112), which now acts as dynamic resistance. The 20-day SMA has also crossed below the 50-day, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
Bitcoin’s recent price decline can be attributed in large part to rising global trade tensions , which have injected a fresh wave of uncertainty into global financial markets. The U.S. government’s decision on March 25th to impose 25% tariffs on auto imports and other goods from Canada, Mexico, and China has intensified fears of a looming global economic slowdown.
As a result, investor sentiment has soured across risk-on assets, including equities and cryptocurrencies. The S&P 500’s 1.85% drop since the announcement is a clear indication that traditional markets are also feeling the heat, and Bitcoin—often viewed as a high-volatility speculative asset—has not been spared.
As protectionist measures ramp up and retaliatory trade actions loom, investors may continue to shift capital into safer, less volatile assets, causing continued selling pressure on BTC in the near term . If these macroeconomic headwinds persist without resolution, Bitcoin could struggle to find support and potentially revisit much lower levels, possibly even approaching the $70,000–$60,000 range in the coming weeks.
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Yes, and here’s why it matters. The 100-day SMA at $93,885 and the 200-day SMA around $85,713 are now tightly compressing near the current price zone. Historically, when price battles the 200-day SMA from below and fails to hold, it often results in accelerated declines. If Bitcoin price decisively breaks below the 200-day SMA and holds under $83,000, that would open the gates toward much lower levels, triggering panic selling across retail and even institutional segments.
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The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 43.09, well below the neutral 50 mark and clearly in bearish territory. RSI has not recovered above 50 since early March, suggesting that buyers are losing conviction while sellers are slowly gaining control. During strong uptrends, RSI tends to hover between 50 and 80. The failure to do so here reinforces the argument that Bitcoin could see more pain before any sustainable reversal.
While a plunge to $25,000 seems extreme to many, it cannot be ruled out entirely. Bitcoin has a history of brutal corrections—often shedding 40–60% after making all-time highs. From its recent peak near $110,000, a 60% retracement would put BTC price right around the $44,000 level. But if macroeconomic uncertainties, regulatory crackdowns, or black swan events (like major exchange collapses) hit the market, psychological levels like $50,000, $35,000, and even $25,000 could come into play as panic overrides fundamentals. It's not the most likely scenario, but it's well within the realm of possibility—especially if key support levels break.
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The most immediate support lies near $83,000, just under the 200-day SMA. If that level holds and Bitcoin price bounces back above $89,000, bulls could regain some short-term control. However, if the $80,000–83,000 range fails to hold, the next support zone sits around $72,000, followed by $60,000—both of which saw strong accumulation in past cycles. If these levels also crumble, then yes, $25,000 becomes a realistic downside target over a multi-month time frame.
Right now, Bitcoin is in a precarious zone . The bulls are losing steam, momentum indicators are fading, and long-term moving averages are starting to compress in ways that often precede significant breakdowns. While a crash to $25,000 is not imminent, it's a scenario that traders and investors must prepare for if current supports fail to hold.
XRP’s $2.22 Support Test: Make-or-Break Level for a Bullish $15 Scenario
Ripple’s XRP has drawn renewed community interest recently, even as its price faces downward pressure. Despite a major regulatory win with the SEC lawsuit dismissal, XRP hasn’t seen the sharp price surge many anticipated, currently trading around $2.23 after a ~5.8% daily decline.
This price action tests critical support levels, prompting analysts to weigh near-term risks against longer-term bullish projections, some targeting as high as $15.
Analyst “Egrag” highlighted the importance of the $2.22 level for XRP. His chart analysis identifies this price point as crucial immediate support, an area tested multiple times previously.
According to Egrag, if buyers successfully defend this level, a bounce back towards the major resistance area around $3 could be likely. However, a sustained break below $2.22 could increase short-term bearish pressure, potentially leading XRP to retest lower support zones.
Offering a significantly more bullish long-term perspective, analyst “CryptoElite” recently reaffirmed a bold $15 price target for XRP. Notably, this analyst reportedly first shared this outlook when XRP traded near $0.50.
They cite XRP’s decisive break above multi-year resistance (formerly $1.95-$2.10) and the potential formation of a large cup and handle pattern as key technical confirmations.
CryptoElite’s analysis, based on Fibonacci extensions, points to potential targets near $8.34 and eventually $13.55–$15 if strong bullish momentum continues, drawing parallels to previous market cycles.
Related: Anatomy of a 600% Call: Analyst Explains Why XRP’s $15 Target Stands
Underpinning these bullish technical outlooks are significant positive shifts in the US regulatory landscape for XRP. Researcher “Anders,” among others, points to the SEC case dismissal as removing major legal uncertainty for Ripple. He also notes the repeal of the SEC’s Staff Accounting Bulletin 122 (SAB 122), which now allows regulated US banks to offer crypto custody services – a development that could benefit Ripple’s secure custody offerings and foster institutional adoption.
Related: “You Have No Idea”: Analyst’s XRP Chart Hints at a Truly Massive Price Surge
Also, speculation surrounding a potential US spot XRP ETF continues to grow. Nate Geraci, a noted ETF expert, has called such an ETF “inevitable.” Prediction market data also reflects high community expectations, recently showing an 82% perceived probability of approval possibly occurring this year. An ETF approval is widely seen as a potential game-changer capable of attracting significant institutional capital into XRP.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.
Anatomy of a 600% Call: Analyst Explains Why XRP’s $15 Target Stands
Renewed optimism surrounds XRP, largely fueled by recent technical breakouts and supportive regulatory developments that have analysts projecting significant potential gains, possibly reaching as high as $15 per token.
XRP has shown strong upward momentum, decisively breaking through key long-term resistance levels, while positive chart patterns appear to be forming. This technical picture, combined with favorable regulatory shifts and signs of growing institutional interest, contributes to the increasingly bullish sentiment.
Market analyst “CryptoELlTES” highlights that XRP recently pushed above its long-term resistance zone near $1.95–$2.10. This price area had notably capped major rallies in both 2018 and 2021. Its apparent conversion into a new support zone is considered a significant development by chart analysts.
CryptoELlTES suggests this breakout might confirm a multi-year cup and handle pattern—a classic technical setup often interpreted as signaling potential for sustained price increases.
Further analysis suggests XRP is currently retesting this former resistance area around the $1.63 mark, which aligns with a key 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. If XRP manages to hold this level as support, CryptoELlTES points to potential subsequent upside targets derived from Fibonacci extensions: initially near $8.34 (the 1.272 level) and potentially extending to the $13.55–$15 range (the 1.414 level) in the coming months.
Another positive take comes from analyst “Dark Defender” who notes that XRP appears to be forming a bullish rectangle pattern.
This type of consolidation , currently observed between strong support near $1.88 and resistance around $2.50, often indicates a period of accumulation before a potential major price advance. Historically, such rectangle patterns can precede sharp, decisive breakouts.
Related: “You Have No Idea”: Analyst’s XRP Chart Hints at a Truly Massive Price Surge
Dark Defender suggests a confirmed break and hold above the $2.50 resistance could trigger an extended rally for XRP. Based on a 261.8% Fibonacci extension from the pattern, such a breakout might initially target the $5.85 price level.
Considering the established support near $1.88, the analyst sees an increased likelihood of XRP eventually challenging its all-time highs if this pattern resolves upwards as expected.
Beyond the positive chart signals, recent regulatory developments in the US also contribute to the bullish narrative.
Digital asset researcher “Anders,” among others, highlights regulatory progress that could see a rise in XRP adoption . The earlier dismissal of the SEC’s high-profile case against Ripple removed a major legal cloud that had affected the project for years. This allows the company to refocus on expanding its ecosystem.
Additionally, the repeal of the SEC’s Staff Accounting Bulletin 122 (SAB 122) now allows regulated US banks to offer custody services for digital assets like XRP. This development could benefit Ripple’s secure custody solutions and encourage wider institutional engagement.
Incoming stablecoin regulations might also boost Ripple’s planned RLUSD stablecoin by enhancing its compliance profile.
Anders also notes the US approving spot XRP Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) could be another powerful catalyst.
Citing prediction market data indicating high perceived probability by late 2025, an XRP ETF could significantly simplify investment for traditional players and potentially bring in significant institutional capital inflow. Many see this as a potential major driver to push XRP towards new price highs.
Currently (at press time, March 28, 2025), XRP trades around $2.30 , with substantial 24-hour volume near $2.7 billion.
Related: XRP’s Next Chapter? Analysts See “Price Discovery” Mode After SEC Settlement
Despite minor pullbacks , proponents believe the broader technical structure and positive fundamental news support the bullish case discussed by analysts. XRP’s market cap stood near $136 billion.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.
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