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📊#BTC complex consolidation phase✔️ 🧠From a structural perspective, we are still in a bearish structure and have not successfully broken through the downward trend line, so the risk of further downside is still not eliminated. ➡️Currently we are in a complex consolidation phase between the blue resistance zone and the green buy zone, so we should remain cautious in the face of ups and downs. ➡️Patience and wait for trading opportunities to appear after either side breaks through. Let's see 👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 $BTC

$XRP Liquidity Sweep + CHoCH + Supply Reaction ⸻ Context: Price swept the weak low into the blue demand zone—clear liquidity grab. Then we got a sharp bounce and a CHoCH reclaiming structure. Now it’s pushing into previous supply zones. ⸻ Trade Plan: Scenario - Short Setup (SFP + Supply Tap): Price is reacting to a supply zone at 1.97 - 2.00. If we get a weak push or rejection candle here, it’s a nice short setup. Entry: 1.98 SL: 2.03 (above supply) TP1: 1.85 (mid demand) TP2: 1.78 - 1.75 (deep into blue zone) Risk/Reward: Solid 1:3+ if we catch the reversal. ⸻ Alternative Long Setup (Only if we reclaim): If price flips 2.00 clean with volume, it invalidates the short. Look for retest of that same zone for a long into the next supply block at 2.15 - 2.20. ⸻ Invalidation: If price chops between zones without clean break or flip, sit out. Don’t force entries in chop. ⸻ Bias: Currently leaning bearish near supply unless 2.00 gets flipped with strength.

Hello Traders 🐺 I hope you enjoyed yesterday’s Black Monday 😂 because honestly, it was brutal for all investors. But corrections like this are always necessary — and I want to talk about that in this idea with a bit more detail. Also, I’ll update you on the current situation of BTC.D, because as I told you in my last update, the market is about to create a bear trap on the BTC.D chart. I already shared the proof for this prediction before the dump — you can check it here: So now, let’s talk about the economic reason behind the dump, and then I’ll go over the technical side of the chart. This idea I’ll explain how we can use macroeconomic data in our trading decisions. So make sure to read it carefully and see how you can apply it to your strategy ✅ Do deep corrections always mean danger? Not necessarily. Let’s go back and remember some of the biggest crashes in financial history — The COVID dump or even the famous Black Monday. If you ask yourself now, “What was the smartest move back then?” You’ll probably say: Buy. Accumulate. Because that was the bottom — and we never saw those prices again. And guess what? The current state of the market is no different. So why do I believe Trump’s new tariff policy could actually be bullish? Let me break it down simply for you: 🔥 The Tariff War: Why it started For years, most countries had easy access to the U.S. consumer market — the largest in the world — with little or no tariffs. But U.S. manufacturers didn’t enjoy the same freedom when exporting abroad — they faced heavy tariffs, while also struggling with intense competition inside their own borders due to lack of import restrictions. So what happened? ✅ The new tariffs brought two key benefits: 1️⃣ Forced negotiations: Other countries now have to either remove or reduce their own export tariffs to keep trading with the U.S., or else they lose access to a market that’s extremely consumption-driven. 2️⃣ Advantage to U.S. domestic production: If foreign exporters lose access, U.S. producers finally get room to breathe, and can grow competitively inside their own market. 💰 What happened after tariff fears hit? In the past month, markets reacted with fear. A massive amount of capital flew out of financial markets and inflation-hedged assets, the dollar strengthened, and recession fears grew. But here’s the twist... What if Trump had started printing money before this shakeout? If liquidity was still high, printing more would’ve: Crushed the dollar Destroyed consumer buying power Sparked inflation again But right now, after money has already been squeezed out of markets and the dollar is strong, the Fed has a clean path to restart QE (quantitative easing) without tanking the dollar’s value. So what's next? Lower interest rates, stimulus packages, subsidies — all will likely come soon. This time, Trump can inject liquidity exactly where he wants it to go: Straight into U.S. industry, not into meme coins and junk assets. With fewer export tariffs, American factories will be more competitive, U.S. exports could rise, and the country will rely less on foreign production. And what does this mean for the markets? Simple. Once the Fed pivots back to easing, markets will react violently to the upside. So, as I always say: Don’t waste this opportunity. Use these prices wisely. now let's come back into the chart : As I told you before , BTC.D now is testing the blue monthly resistance line and also hit the rising wedge upward resistance line and in my opinion there is a big chance to see a massive bull market incoming... I hope you find this idea valuable and as always remember : 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable 🐺 $BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL $BNB

How March CPI Could Shake the Market and Where Crypto May Head Next The global financial ecosystem is bracing for impact today, Thursday, April 10, 2025, as the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics unveils the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March 2025 at 8:30 a.m. ET. This release follows heightened volatility triggered by President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, which recently rattled both traditional and crypto markets. Although a 90-day suspension on tariffs provided a momentary sigh of relief, investors now shift their focus toward inflation data, which could determine the next major move in crypto. 1. Understanding CPI: Why It Matters to Crypto The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a monthly economic indicator that tracks inflation by measuring the average change in prices for consumer goods and services. It’s not just a statistic—it influences interest rate policies, economic sentiment, and investor behavior, especially in high-risk sectors like crypto. 🔷 Diamond Light Blue Bullets: 🔹 Tracks inflation trends and purchasing power 🔹 Influences Federal Reserve interest rate decisions 🔹 Impacts investor appetite for risky vs. safe assets 🔹 Crypto responds sharply to CPI shifts due to its volatility 2. CPI and Crypto: Two Scenarios That Move the Market CPI outcomes often cause rapid shifts in market sentiment. Let’s break down the two main paths CPI data could take—and how each might affect crypto: 🔹 Scenario A: CPI Rises (Inflation Up) When CPI increases, it signals higher inflation. This reduces consumer purchasing power and prompts investors to flee from risky assets like crypto. Capital tends to move into traditional safe havens such as bonds, savings accounts, gold—or sometimes Bitcoin, due to its role as digital gold. 🔹 Scenario B: CPI Falls (Inflation Down) A CPI decline typically means the economy is cooling. This gives the Federal Reserve room to cut interest rates, which in turn boosts liquidity and investor sentiment. Crypto often thrives in this environment as traders move into riskier assets. Historical Note: In February 2025, CPI fell to 2.8% from 3.0% in January. Bitcoin jumped 2%, hitting $83,510 in a single day. 3. Market Expectations: March 2025 CPI Predictions Crypto analyst Matthew Hyland expects the March CPI to show a larger decline, potentially landing around 2.5%, raising hopes for a crypto breakout. But there are multiple outcomes to watch: 🔹 CPI ≤ 2.5% → Bullish Market Lower-than-expected CPI would signal easing inflation, increasing the chance of rate cuts. This is usually a green light for crypto bulls. 🔹 CPI between 2.6% – 2.7% → Volatile or Neutral This mid-range would likely create uncertainty. Traders might see short-lived volatility or choppy, sideways movement, as seen in January 2025, when BTC dipped 4.17%. 🔹 CPI ≥ 2.8% → Bearish Sentiment A CPI of 2.8% or higher could spook the market, delaying Fed rate cuts. Investors may rush to exit risky positions, and Bitcoin could face sharp pullbacks, as it did with a 15% crash in December 2024. 4. Whale Behavior & Exchange Activity Ahead of CPI Data from CryptoQuant reveals increased whale activity ahead of the CPI release. The largest exchange, has seen significant $BTC inflows recently: 🔹 22,106 BTC (worth $1.82 billion) deposited in just 12 days 🔹 Binance now holds 590,874 $BTC in reserves 🔹 Suggests investors are preparing to sell or trade quickly based on CPI outcome 🔹 Also reflects broader market unease due to political tensions and uncertainty This preparation points toward a possible high-volatility reaction, with many traders on standby, ready to act the moment CPI is announced. 5. Conclusion: CPI Release Could Define the Crypto Trend Today’s CPI release is more than just a monthly stat—it’s a make-or-break moment for the crypto market. As the dust settles from Trump’s tariff suspension, the spotlight now moves to U.S. inflation and monetary policy signals. 🔹 A lower CPI print could light the crypto rocket 🔹 A higher CPI might trigger panic selling and drawdowns 🔹 Mixed numbers could bring short-lived price swings Whether you're a long-term investor or a short-term trader, it’s critical to stay updated, avoid emotional trades, and DYOR (Do Your Own Research) before reacting to the data.

Hello Traders 🐺 I hope you enjoyed yesterday’s Black Monday 😂 because honestly, it was brutal for all investors. But corrections like this are always necessary — and I want to talk about that in this idea with a bit more detail. Also, I’ll update you on the current situation of BTC.D, because as I told you in my last update, the market is about to create a bear trap on the BTC.D chart. I already shared the proof for this prediction before the dump — you can check it here: So now, let’s talk about the economic reason behind the dump, and then I’ll go over the technical side of the chart. This idea I’ll explain how we can use macroeconomic data in our trading decisions. So make sure to read it carefully and see how you can apply it to your strategy ✅ Do deep corrections always mean danger? Not necessarily. Let’s go back and remember some of the biggest crashes in financial history — The COVID dump or even the famous Black Monday. If you ask yourself now, “What was the smartest move back then?” You’ll probably say: Buy. Accumulate. Because that was the bottom — and we never saw those prices again. And guess what? The current state of the market is no different. So why do I believe Trump’s new tariff policy could actually be bullish? Let me break it down simply for you: 🔥 The Tariff War: Why it started For years, most countries had easy access to the U.S. consumer market — the largest in the world — with little or no tariffs. But U.S. manufacturers didn’t enjoy the same freedom when exporting abroad — they faced heavy tariffs, while also struggling with intense competition inside their own borders due to lack of import restrictions. So what happened? ✅ The new tariffs brought two key benefits: 1️⃣ Forced negotiations: Other countries now have to either remove or reduce their own export tariffs to keep trading with the U.S., or else they lose access to a market that’s extremely consumption-driven. 2️⃣ Advantage to U.S. domestic production: If foreign exporters lose access, U.S. producers finally get room to breathe, and can grow competitively inside their own market. 💰 What happened after tariff fears hit? In the past month, markets reacted with fear. A massive amount of capital flew out of financial markets and inflation-hedged assets, the dollar strengthened, and recession fears grew. But here’s the twist... What if Trump had started printing money before this shakeout? If liquidity was still high, printing more would’ve: Crushed the dollar Destroyed consumer buying power Sparked inflation again But right now, after money has already been squeezed out of markets and the dollar is strong, the Fed has a clean path to restart QE (quantitative easing) without tanking the dollar’s value. So what's next? Lower interest rates, stimulus packages, subsidies — all will likely come soon. This time, Trump can inject liquidity exactly where he wants it to go: Straight into U.S. industry, not into meme coins and junk assets. With fewer export tariffs, American factories will be more competitive, U.S. exports could rise, and the country will rely less on foreign production. And what does this mean for the markets? Simple. Once the Fed pivots back to easing, markets will react violently to the upside. So, as I always say: Don’t waste this opportunity. Use these prices wisely. now let's come back into the chart : As I told you before , BTC.D now is testing the blue monthly resistance line and also hit the rising wedge upward resistance line and in my opinion there is a big chance to see a massive bull market incoming... I hope you find this idea valuable and as always remember : 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable 🐺 $BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL $BNB