Bitcoin: Arthur Hayes Predicts A Price Of $250,000 By 2025
The co-founder of BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, makes a bold prediction: the price of Bitcoin could surpass $250,000 by the end of 2025. This analysis is based on recent adjustments to monetary policy that could spur strong demand for the leading cryptocurrency.
Arthur Hayes’ recent analysis is sure to catch the attention of many crypto market observers. According to him, the BTC price could reach $250,000 by the end of 2025 if the FED decides to pivot towards a quantitative easing (QE) policy.
Specifically, Hayes bases this crypto prediction on the idea that the value of Bitcoin is heavily influenced by market expectations regarding the future supply of fiat currency.
Analysis: If the FED increases the supply of dollars by adopting QE, demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin could rise due to the perceived devaluation of traditional currency.
The latest actions by the FED are already showing signs of such a pivot. On April 1, it reduced the capacity for Treasury bond reductions from $25 billion to only $5 billion per month. According to Hayes, this decision marks the beginning of a bullish cycle for crypto assets.
Having reached a local low of $76,500 last month, Bitcoin could indeed start its surge towards $250,000.
Not all expert crypto analysts share Arthur Hayes’ optimistic vision . Jamie Coutts from Real Vision estimates, for example, that Bitcoin would hit a peak of $132,000 by the end of 2025. These projections are more conservative. They take into account current market trends, suggesting a less drastic impact of monetary policy on BTC’s price.
But that’s not all! According to data from Polymarket , only 9% of traders are betting on a Bitcoin at $250,000. The majority (at 60%) believe that the price of the flagship cryptocurrency will stabilize around $110,000 in 2025. This sentiment reflects hesitation about the extent of the expected rally for BTC.
While Hayes’ prediction is ambitious, it highlights the importance of monetary policy in determining the price of Bitcoin. Investors will need to closely monitor the FED’s decisions as well as the evolution of the global economy. These could redefine the trajectories of cryptocurrencies in the long term.
Ethereum Crushes Solana And Regains The Top Spot In DEX Trading
March 2025 marks an important turning point in the DeFi ecosystem: Ethereum regains the top spot in the blockchain ranking in terms of trading volume on DEXs, surpassing Solana for the first time since September 2024. A turnaround that occurs in a pressured market, with a notable decline in activity on Solana, particularly on its flagship platforms.
In March 2025, Ethereum recorded a DEX trading volume of $63 billion, surpassing Solana, which only reached $51 billion. Just a few months ago, it was Solana that was leading the dance thanks to its speed and low fees. This turnaround is due to the continuous performance of major decentralized platforms like Uniswap and Curve Finance, which have solidified Ethereum in the lead.
This performance is also favored by Layer 2 solutions, which lighten the load on the main chain while ensuring better scalability. These innovations allow Ethereum to remain competitive against blockchains like Solana, which, despite its low latency and minimal fees, has not been able to contain the erosion of its activity on DEXs.
The trading activity on Solana’s DEXs, particularly Raydium and Pump.fun, has experienced a significant drop. The trading volume of Pump.fun fell from $7.75 billion in January to $2.53 billion in March, a decline of 67%. This decline is particularly related to the decrease in the graduation rate of tokens, a key indicator showing that fewer new tokens reach sufficiently high capitalization levels to migrate to Solana’s major platforms.
Solana, which was once established as the preferred blockchain for memecoins, has seen the appeal for this sector wane, exacerbated by an overall bearish market sentiment, thus contributing to its decline. Consequently, it will face significant challenges to reactivate its trading volumes. Its future success will depend on its ability to reinvent itself and attract new investors and users into its network.
The emergence and consolidation of Ethereum as the leader of DEXs is not only due to a temporary turnaround. While Solana struggles to maintain its momentum, Ethereum seems therefore solidly anchored in the DeFi ecosystem, thanks to its ability to evolve and adapt to market needs. However, will this performance be enough to pull Ethereum out of the major economic crisis it is currently facing?
Can BTC Price Hit $100K?
Bitcoin (BTC) has once again become the center of attention as it dances around the $85,000 zone. While many traders are cautiously watching the charts, a closer look reveals that the king of crypto might be gearing up for its next major move. With both daily and hourly candles showing signs of transition and with moving average ribbons tightening, it's time to dissect whether BTC price is staging a breakout or stalling before another leg down. Let’s break down what the charts and indicators are really telling us.
The 1-hour Heikin Ashi chart shows a subtle but notable recovery in momentum after several sessions of consolidation and downtrend. Bitcoin dipped near the $82,000 mark before forming a rising pattern, attempting to reclaim lost territory.
What stands out is the bullish crossover on the short-term MA ribbon — with the 20 SMA piercing above the 50 SMA, which often acts as an early indicator of trend reversals. Prices have now surged above the 100 SMA, while facing mild resistance around the 200 SMA (currently near $84,841), a psychological and technical battleground.
The Average Directional Line (ADL) at 1,525.07 suggests weak accumulation pressure, but it's beginning to curl upward — a sign that buyers may be stepping in slowly. The consistent higher lows on this timeframe, paired with the bullish slope of the 20 SMA, paint a cautiously optimistic picture. The hourly breakout attempt above $85,500, if sustained, could flip intraday sentiment decisively bullish, targeting $87,000–$88,000 next.
The daily chart tells a different story — more macro, more patient. After a powerful rally to around $93,000 earlier this year, BTC price has slowly bled downwards, finding interim support near the $81,000–$82,000 region. The price has been chopping sideways since mid-March, indicating a classic accumulation range, but has yet to deliver a strong bullish impulse.
The MA Ribbon on the daily (SMA 20 through 200) reveals that BTC is still trading below its 100 SMA and 50 SMA — both of which are curving downward. This alignment favors bears in the medium term unless Bitcoin price can reclaim and hold above $88,000. The 200 SMA currently rests at $86,205, a critical confluence zone. A daily close above that level could trigger a wave of FOMO and short liquidation, catapulting BTC back to its YTD high.
Meanwhile, the ADL reading at 1,595.13 remains relatively flat, confirming that major players haven't aggressively bought into this dip — yet. The next few daily candles will be crucial to determine whether smart money starts flowing back in.
On both timeframes, moving averages are compressing — a telltale sign of an incoming volatility spike. The 1-hour chart’s short-term MAs are curling up, a bullish signal. Meanwhile, the daily chart presents a more neutral stance with MAs starting to flatten after weeks of decline, hinting at a bottom formation phase.
The Heikin Ashi candles also support this: we’re seeing smaller bodies and wicks on both ends, indicating indecision but with a slight bullish bias on shorter timeframes. If BTC price can break above $86,200 with strong volume, a retest of $90,000 could quickly follow.
At this juncture, BTC price is trading at a key inflection point. Short-term momentum is clearly building on the 1-hour chart, while the daily chart shows a potential base forming around the $84,000–$85,000 region. However, without a convincing break above the daily 200 SMA and a surge in volume, the market remains vulnerable to another shakeout.
If Bitcoin price closes above $86,200 in the next 24–48 hours, it could trigger a broader uptrend toward $90,000 and potentially new all-time highs. On the flip side, failure to break that level could result in a rejection down to $81,000 once again — a painful fakeout for eager bulls.
All eyes should remain glued to the $85,900–$86,200 resistance zone. A strong push above could mark the start of a new bullish phase for BTC price to reach $100K. Until then, smart traders should stay agile, watching both short-term signs of momentum and long-term confirmation from daily moving averages and accumulation patterns.
Bitcoin (BTC) has once again become the center of attention as it dances around the $85,000 zone. While many traders are cautiously watching the charts, a closer look reveals that the king of crypto might be gearing up for its next major move. With both daily and hourly candles showing signs of transition and with moving average ribbons tightening, it's time to dissect whether BTC price is staging a breakout or stalling before another leg down. Let’s break down what the charts and indicators are really telling us.
The 1-hour Heikin Ashi chart shows a subtle but notable recovery in momentum after several sessions of consolidation and downtrend. Bitcoin dipped near the $82,000 mark before forming a rising pattern, attempting to reclaim lost territory.
What stands out is the bullish crossover on the short-term MA ribbon — with the 20 SMA piercing above the 50 SMA, which often acts as an early indicator of trend reversals. Prices have now surged above the 100 SMA, while facing mild resistance around the 200 SMA (currently near $84,841), a psychological and technical battleground.
The Average Directional Line (ADL) at 1,525.07 suggests weak accumulation pressure, but it's beginning to curl upward — a sign that buyers may be stepping in slowly. The consistent higher lows on this timeframe, paired with the bullish slope of the 20 SMA, paint a cautiously optimistic picture. The hourly breakout attempt above $85,500, if sustained, could flip intraday sentiment decisively bullish, targeting $87,000–$88,000 next.
The daily chart tells a different story — more macro, more patient. After a powerful rally to around $93,000 earlier this year, BTC price has slowly bled downwards, finding interim support near the $81,000–$82,000 region. The price has been chopping sideways since mid-March, indicating a classic accumulation range, but has yet to deliver a strong bullish impulse.
The MA Ribbon on the daily (SMA 20 through 200) reveals that BTC is still trading below its 100 SMA and 50 SMA — both of which are curving downward. This alignment favors bears in the medium term unless Bitcoin price can reclaim and hold above $88,000. The 200 SMA currently rests at $86,205, a critical confluence zone. A daily close above that level could trigger a wave of FOMO and short liquidation, catapulting BTC back to its YTD high.
Meanwhile, the ADL reading at 1,595.13 remains relatively flat, confirming that major players haven't aggressively bought into this dip — yet. The next few daily candles will be crucial to determine whether smart money starts flowing back in.
On both timeframes, moving averages are compressing — a telltale sign of an incoming volatility spike. The 1-hour chart’s short-term MAs are curling up, a bullish signal. Meanwhile, the daily chart presents a more neutral stance with MAs starting to flatten after weeks of decline, hinting at a bottom formation phase.
The Heikin Ashi candles also support this: we’re seeing smaller bodies and wicks on both ends, indicating indecision but with a slight bullish bias on shorter timeframes. If BTC price can break above $86,200 with strong volume, a retest of $90,000 could quickly follow.
At this juncture, BTC price is trading at a key inflection point. Short-term momentum is clearly building on the 1-hour chart, while the daily chart shows a potential base forming around the $84,000–$85,000 region. However, without a convincing break above the daily 200 SMA and a surge in volume, the market remains vulnerable to another shakeout.
If Bitcoin price closes above $86,200 in the next 24–48 hours, it could trigger a broader uptrend toward $90,000 and potentially new all-time highs. On the flip side, failure to break that level could result in a rejection down to $81,000 once again — a painful fakeout for eager bulls.
All eyes should remain glued to the $85,900–$86,200 resistance zone. A strong push above could mark the start of a new bullish phase for BTC price to reach $100K. Until then, smart traders should stay agile, watching both short-term signs of momentum and long-term confirmation from daily moving averages and accumulation patterns.