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Bitcoin short-term holders (STH) now hold only about 40% of the network’s total wealth, according to Glassnode . In early 2025, that number was close to 50%. Compare that to the peak of the previous cycle, when new investors could control between 70% and 90% of Bitcoin’s wealth. This difference in pattern seems to reflect a calmer bull market. Not that it is not promising, but more like a long uphill road than a rocket that is shooting up. New investors are present, but their presence is not as dominant as in previous years. While beginners usually buy in droves because of FOMO, now the atmosphere is calmer—either because they have learned from experience or because the market is now more difficult to predict. Short-Term Holders currently hold around 40% of #Bitcoin 's network wealth, after peaking near 50% earlier in 2025. This remains significantly below prior cycle tops, where new investor wealth peaked at 70–90%, suggesting a more tempered and distributed bull market so far. pic.twitter.com/G6se9dcyBW — glassnode (@glassnode) March 31, 2025 On the other hand, whales are apparently moving in the middle of this calmer situation. Since March 11, 2025, more than 129,000 BTC have been accumulated by large holders, worth around $11.2 billion, assuming the BTC price at that time was $87,500. This is the largest accumulation since August 2024. This movement has made many people start to wonder: is this a signal that big players are preparing something? While short-term holders appear to be holding back, whales are actually shopping on a large scale. If we compare it to a supermarket, small customers are still looking at prices, but bulk buyers have already put items in their carts without hesitation. Maybe they know something we don’t know yet? Furthermore, data from last week showed that liquidity in the Bitcoin market is shrinking. This could be a kind of early warning. Glassnode noted that the market is increasingly vulnerable because many market players tend to hold back and be more careful. In conditions like this, price movements can be even wilder because even the slightest pressure can trigger a big reaction. However, if we look at the performance in the first quarter of 2025, Bitcoin did experience a 12.5% decline. But this is still much lower than in the past. In the previous bull cycle, BTC had plunged more than 60%. So even though there is a correction now, it is not as severe as the old traumas. On the other hand, CNF previously also reported the CEO of BlackRock, who said that US debt could make Bitcoin challenge the dollar’s dominance as a global foreign exchange reserve. It sounds ambitious, but if you look at recent trends—with ETFs already official and tokenization starting to be used in various sectors—Bitcoin is indeed slowly turning into a “serious” asset class in the eyes of modern investors. Those who used to only believe in gold or traditional assets are now starting to consider BTC as part of their portfolio. It is no longer just a bet, but is starting to be considered a hedge. Similar to people who used to only believe in keeping money under the mattress and then slowly started to believe in banks. Meanwhile, at the time of writing, BTC is trading at about $82,887, up around $1,382 in the last 24 hours or an increase of 1.7%. The daily trading range shows a high of $83,884 and a low of $81,282. This shows that although the market is somewhat sensitive, its volatility is still relatively under control.

Pillar 5: Emotional Control – FOMO and panic-selling are portfolio killers – Trade based on strategies, not impulses – Manage stress with journaling and breaks Your mindset is as important as any chart pattern.

The cryptocurrency market closed the first quarter of 2025 with significant losses, marking one of its more challenging quarterly periods historically. Ethereum (ETH) suffered a steep decline reported at 45.41% during Q1, while Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 11.82% over the same three months. This sharp downturn reflected a turbulent start to the year for crypto assets. The period saw widespread liquidations across derivatives markets and signs of declining investor confidence. Currently, Bitcoin trades near $83,719, showing a modest 1.8% uptick over the past 24 hours after finding support at recent lows. Ethereum’s Q1 performance ranked among its worst quarterly results since 2018. This highlighted the severity of the market’s recent struggles. While Bitcoin’s Q1 losses were less severe, its negative performance still contributed to the overall bearish sentiment across the market during the quarter. Related: Bitcoin $100k FOMO Returns: Santiment Warns It Could Be a Bull Trap Many traders were forced out of the market, and liquidity in the crypto sector thinned as investors pulled back from high-risk assets. Ethereum is now trading at $1,876 after a 15.5% drop in the past month. Despite the harsh conditions of Q1, there is growing anticipation that the second quarter may bring a reversal in market trends per Newsmaker . The U.S. SEC is expected to make crucial decisions on several pending spot crypto exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications by the end of Q2. Positive approvals for products beyond Bitcoin could facilitate greater institutional investment inflow, potentially injecting fresh capital into the specific assets approved and the broader market. The Federal Reserve is also expected to lower interest rates in the coming months. A rate cut would ease financial conditions, potentially making crypto investments more attractive. Historically, periods of lower interest rates have often supported performance for risk-on assets, including technology stocks and crypto. While Q1 2025 proved difficult for crypto investors, historical market trends suggest the second quarter often sees stronger performance on average for major cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s average Q2 return historically stands at +24.86%, based on past data cycles. Ethereum has often performed even better than Bitcoin during the second quarter historically. Related: Ethereum April 2025 Forecast: Analyzing the Bull vs Bear Case After Dip Another key event on the horizon is the FTX payout scheduled for May 30. The collapsed crypto exchange is set to return $11.4 billion to creditors, with some estimates suggesting the amount could be as high as $16 billion. This could release significant liquidity into the market, potentially driving renewed trading activity. Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.

Considering all the bullish things happening the Bitcoin price should at least be above $500k. Someone really wealthy wants to keep the price low and are willing to use a lot of money to achieve it. They don’t want people to get FOMO just yet, but they know it’s inevitable.

Somehow the gods keep blessing us with another genny $FORT entry You’ll probably fomo hard seeing this in a few weeks from now