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On January 20, 2025, Donald Trump was inaugurated as the 47th President of the United States. This event marked a pivotal moment in U.S. history and immediately triggered significant shifts in the financial landscape. As the global financial system braced for Trump’s unconventional policies, the cryptocurrency market, which was still in its nascent stages, began to feel the ripples of his actions. Over the next four years, Trump’s rhetoric, regulatory stance, and market unpredictability had profound implications for digital assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other altcoins. ↔️Initial Reactions: Trump’s Influence on Bitcoin and Crypto The early days following Trump’s election and inauguration were characterized by uncertainty, as his policies and unpredictability raised concerns among investors across various markets. However, the cryptocurrency market was, at the time, experiencing an emerging wave of interest and investment, particularly in Bitcoin and Ethereum. The uncertainty surrounding the new administration seemed to coincide with an upward trend in Bitcoin’s price. Some saw the Trump presidency as an opportunity for Bitcoin to assert itself as a hedge against market instability and potential currency devaluation. Bitcoin, having already established itself as a decentralized, deflationary asset, appeared to gain traction as a safe haven during periods of uncertainty. In the months following Trump’s inauguration, Bitcoin saw its price surge from around $900 in January 2017 to more than $19,000 by December 2017, a nearly 2,000% increase. This rapid appreciation was driven by various factors, including increasing demand for Bitcoin as a store of value and an alternative to traditional fiat currencies. ↔️Trump’s Stance on Regulation and the Crypto Market Trump’s first few months in office as the 45th President, provided little in terms of direct regulation or action against the crypto market, leaving investors cautiously optimistic. However, the lack of clear regulatory guidance during his administration led to increased speculation and debate within the crypto space. The administration’s stance on cryptocurrencies and their place in the broader financial ecosystem was ambiguous, leading many to consider how Trump’s policies might shape the regulatory landscape in the future. In 2018, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), under the leadership of Jay Clayton (appointed by Trump), made significant moves to regulate initial coin offerings (ICOs), citing concerns over fraudulent activity. These regulatory measures dampened the initial ICO boom but provided a semblance of legitimacy to the broader cryptocurrency market, showing that the U.S. government was taking steps to regulate the space. However, Trump’s administration remained largely hands-off in terms of directly addressing cryptocurrency as a whole. presidency coincided with the rise of institutional adoption, regulatory shifts, and the increasing mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrencies as an alternative asset class. Despite the initial uncertainty surrounding his economic policies, the growing demand for cryptocurrencies during his tenure signaled a shift in the global financial ecosystem. While Trump’s impact on the cryptocurrency market was multifaceted, his policies paved the way for the growth of digital assets, setting the stage for a new era of financial innovation. As the market continues to evolve, the influence of his presidency will remain a key factor in shaping the future of the cryptocurrency industry. ↔️Post Inuaguration Downfall and Market Volatility The Inaguration on trump sent Bitcoin to $109,000 as his pro-crypto stance so a leap of faith hit investors. Markets generally pumped with several altcoins hitting highs. However, not more than a week later, markets are now retracing from the initial pump. Bitcoin suffered a sharp downfall to $91,000, with astonishing trader positions’ liquidations. Despite short-term bullish momentum, broader trends indicate bearish sentiment, likely influenced by macroeconomic uncertainty following the inauguration and the trade wars’ loom. Altcoins suffered the most, with BTC’s market capitalization remaining dominant.

BTC UPDATE This is the most detailed Bitcoin review I’ve made in a while. Let’s begin. As you can see from the chart, there are two scenarios of the further price behavior, the one will be determined within the next 3 days. In fact, it is simple: either the price manages to break through the $100,000 resistance and reclaim it OR we spend days in the chop above the $96,100 support. The more time we spend below the resistance — the lower chances of success bulls have. The more time we spend below $100,000 — the weaker $96k support becomes. And this TIME is DIFFERENT! I don’t think that the $92,000 support has a lot of chances to survive another dump. If we break the $96k one now, more likely we will go to $85,000 almost instantly.

On February 6, the total net outflow of Bitcoin spot ETF was $140 million, and the outflow of Fidelity FBTC was $103 million. The total net inflow of Ethereum spot ETF was $10.6519 million, and the net inflow continued for 6 days.

The impact of U.S. tariffs on the cryptocurrency market can be multifaceted, as tariffs can influence broader economic conditions, investor sentiment, and speculative behavior. Here's a breakdown of how increasing tariffs could potentially affect the crypto market and some strategies to adjust your trading: Potential Impacts of U.S. Tariffs on Crypto Market 1. Economic Uncertainty Tariff hikes can lead to economic uncertainty or slower economic growth. In such an environment, investors might seek alternative assets, including cryptocurrencies, as safe-haven assets, similar to gold. 2. Market Volatility - Tariff announcements can lead to significant market volatility. Cryptocurrencies are known for their price volatility, and tariffs may exacerbate price swings as traders react to news and market sentiment. 3. Investor Sentiment - Increased tariffs may lead to negative sentiment in traditional markets (stocks, commodities), which could spill over into the cryptocurrency market. If investors are worried about an economic downturn, they may liquidate crypto positions to secure cash, potentially leading to a decrease in prices. 4. Regulatory Changes - Tariff policies can alter the regulatory landscape, particularly if they lead to broader geopolitical tensions. Such changes could affect the operational viability of crypto exchanges or influence government attitudes towards cryptocurrencies, which could have subsequent effects on market prices. 5. Impact on Miners - If tariffs are applied to equipment or energy sources used in crypto mining, this could increase the cost of mining operations. Higher operational costs might discourage mining activity, which can lead to changes in the supply dynamics of particular cryptocurrencies. 6. Inflationary Pressures - Tariffs can contribute to inflation, which may lead to increased interest in cryptocurrencies as a hedge against inflation. Digital assets like Bitcoin have been marketed as "digital gold" and may see increased demand under inflationary pressures. Adjusting Trading Strategies Given these potential market impacts, here are some strategies you might consider to adjust your trading: 1. Stay Informed - Keep up-to-date with news on tariff policies and economic indicators. Use reliable news sources to gauge how these changes might affect the broader market, not just crypto. 2. Diversification - Consider diversifying your crypto portfolio. Assets that tend to be less correlated with economic cycles or traditional markets may perform better during periods of uncertainty. 3. Risk Management - Implement risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, to protect investments from sudden price drops due to market reactions to tariff news. 4. Technical Analysis - Use technical analysis to find entry and exit points. Understand how market sentiment shifts can create trading opportunities or signaled trend reversals. 5. Long-term vs. Short-term Trading - Assess whether you want to take a long-term approach (holding during volatility or a short-term trading strategy (capitalizing on price spikes and dips). Your risk tolerance and investment goals should guide this choice. 6. Defensive Plays - During times of volatility, consider allocating some of your portfolio to stablecoins or assets that tend to be less volatile, allowing for a safer base while waiting for more favorable trading conditions. 7.Monitor Correlations - Pay attention to how crypto correlates with traditional markets. If you notice that crypto prices are moving in tandem with stock indices, it might be wise to adjust your positions accordingly based on overall market trends.

Bitcoin may see a “decisive price move” in the near term, and while short-term volatility may continue, the long-term view “remains positive,” say analysts. Bitcoin could be headed for a “decisive price move” in the coming weeks as the US decides on its next Bitcoin move, amid other macroeconomic developments. Some analysts anticipate that direction is likely upward, as Bitcoin has yet to fully price in the US government’s pro-crypto stance. Clearer signals on Bitcoin’s price in the coming weeks Bitfinex analysts said in a recent markets report that Bitcoin could shift “especially as more macroeconomic developments unfold.” They pointed out that Bitcoin has been trading within a 15% price range since mid-November when it hovered around $90,000. Historically, 15-20% consolidated price ranges tend to “resolve in either direction within 80 - 90 days.” They said that despite Bitcoin's “high correlation” with macro conditions, its recent ability to hold above its pre-US election price of around $70,000 — despite turbulence in the crypto market triggered by US President Donald Trump imposing tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China — demonstrates the asset’s relative strength.$BTC