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US non-farm payrolls rose by 228,000 in March, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of 135,000 and more than doubling the 100,000 forecast. The report also showed private sector hiring contributing 209,000 jobs, suggesting sustained demand for labor despite ongoing monetary tightening. However, the unemployment rate edged up to 4.2%, in line with forecasts but above February’s 4.1%, highlighting a divergence between job creation and employment absorption. The unemployment rate increased alongside a modest uptick in the labor force participation rate to 62.5% from 62.4%, indicating that more individuals re-entered the workforce but had not yet secured jobs. The household and establishment surveys, which inform these two figures, often diverge due to differing methodologies and sample bases. Wage growth remained steady, with average hourly earnings rising 0.3% month over month and 3.8% year over year. Both figures suggest wage pressures are cooling slightly, offering a potential buffer for inflation concerns. Weekly hours held firm at 34.2. The data prompted a muted yet visible reaction in bitcoin markets. $BTC briefly fell to around $82,000 before rebounding to trade near $82,970 shortly after the release. The initial drop likely reflected algorithmic selling on the unemployment rate uptick, followed by a recovery on stronger-than-expected payroll figures that signaled economic resilience. Market participants will likely interpret the overall report as evidence of labor market rebalancing rather than deterioration. Attention now turns to the Federal Reserve’s response in upcoming meetings.

US non-farm payrolls rose by 228,000 in March, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of 135,000 and more than doubling the 100,000 forecast. The report also showed private sector hiring contributing 209,000 jobs, suggesting sustained demand for labor despite ongoing monetary tightening. However, the unemployment rate edged up to 4.2%, in line with forecasts but above February’s 4.1%, highlighting a divergence between job creation and employment absorption. The unemployment rate increased alongside a modest uptick in the labor force participation rate to 62.5% from 62.4%, indicating that more individuals re-entered the workforce but had not yet secured jobs. The household and establishment surveys, which inform these two figures, often diverge due to differing methodologies and sample bases. Wage growth remained steady, with average hourly earnings rising 0.3% month over month and 3.8% year over year. Both figures suggest wage pressures are cooling slightly, offering a potential buffer for inflation concerns. Weekly hours held firm at 34.2. The data prompted a muted yet visible reaction in bitcoin markets. $BTC briefly fell to around $82,000 before rebounding to trade near $82,970 shortly after the release. The initial drop likely reflected algorithmic selling on the unemployment rate uptick, followed by a recovery on stronger-than-expected payroll figures that signaled economic resilience. Market participants will likely interpret the overall report as evidence of labor market rebalancing rather than deterioration. Attention now turns to the Federal Reserve’s response in upcoming meetings.

Bitcoin ( $BTC ) has been showing very faint signs of resilience as markets tumble in response to tariffs. The U.S. employment situation continued to roll along in strong fashion in March, adding another piece to the puzzle as the Federal Reserve contemplates the path of short-term interest rates in a world that's markedly changed in the last 48 hours. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 228,000 last month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday morning. Economists had expected a gain of just 135,000 following February’s increase of 117,000 jobs (revised from an originally reported 151,000). The unemployment rate for March, however, rose a tick to 4.2% against economist consensus of 4.1% and February's 4.1%. The price of bitcoin ( $BTC ) was little-changed in the minutes following the report at $82,600.

BITCOIN Bollinger squeeze and 1D Death Cross aiming at $150k Bitcoin (BTCUSD) will complete today a 1D Death Cross (1D MA50 crossing below the 1D MA200). A technically bearish pattern in theory but in practice it has been one of the greatest buy signals during the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle. ** Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 ** As you can see, since the long-term Channel Up started with the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, we have had another two 1D Death Crosses. Both took place on the Channel Up bottoms (September 04 2023 and August 05 2024), serving as Higher Lows for the pattern. At the same time, the price had a test (or close) of the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), while the Bollinger Bands (blue cloud) have already started to squeeze. This squeeze is critical as it was even present during the November 21 2022 Bear market bottom, having started a little earlier on October 31 2022. In fact the squeeze started earlier on all three bottom phases and even on the current price action we are seeing so far a Bollinger Squeeze since March 17 2025, a little after the near test of the 1W MA50. ** The Transition Month ** In typical cyclical manner, each year had one Channel Up bottom. This bottom process (consisting of the Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross and 1W MA50 test) technically appears once a year. We call this month 'Transition Month', which is the necessary phase that BTC spends to go from the bottom to the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. In 2022 that month was December, in 2023 it was September and in 2024 August. Since all bottom conditions have been met this time also, we expect April to be the 2025 Transition Month. ** What's next? ** As far as the next leg up in concerned, all 3 previous Bullish Legs rose by at least +100% from the bottom. Since March 10 was the close test of the 1W MA50, we can consider that the bottom from which to measure the +100% leg up. That suggests that BTC will hit at least $150000 on the next top. $BTC

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Santos Limited stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $6.60 and $6.46. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, March 28, 2025, and so far it has fallen -12.50%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.