🚨 Rare Market Correlation: S&P 500 & DXY Falling Together! 🚨
A highly unusual market event is unfolding as both the S&P 500 and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) have been declining simultaneously since January 31. The S&P 500 is down -6.5%, while the DXY has dropped -3.5%—a rare occurrence historically.
📉 Why is this significant?
Typically, when the U.S. Dollar weakens, equities tend to rise as a weaker dollar makes U.S. assets more attractive. Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, stocks often struggle due to higher risk aversion. However, when both fall together, it suggests broad risk-off sentiment, potential liquidity concerns, or a major shift in macroeconomic conditions.
📊 Historical Context:
The last time we saw this type of parallel decline was in 2008, right before the Global Financial Crisis. Other similar instances, as shown in the chart, occurred during key economic downturns or uncertainties, including 2002, 2003, 2007, and 2011.
🔍 Possible Causes:
1️⃣ Repricing of Rate Cuts: Market expectations around Fed rate cuts might be shifting, leading to uncertainty in both equities and currency markets.
2️⃣ Geopolitical & Economic Risks: Concerns over inflation, global trade tensions, and recession fears could be driving investors away from both stocks and the U.S. dollar.
3️⃣ Liquidity Squeeze: If liquidity is tightening across markets, it could pressure both assets, forcing institutions to de-risk their portfolios.
⚠️ What’s Next?
A further drop in both could indicate a major market correction or risk-off phase.
If liquidity dries up, it could impact crypto markets as well, as institutions may reduce risk exposure across the board.
A reversal in DXY while stocks remain weak might indicate a shift in sentiment toward safe-haven assets.
📌 Crypto Traders – Stay Alert!
This macro shift could bring volatility to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoins. BTC’s correlation with equities has fluctuated, and if this downtrend continues, we could see increased market uncertainty or capital rotation into crypto as a hedge.
🔹 Are we at a major market turning point?
🔹 Will crypto decouple from traditional markets?
Share your thoughts below! 👇💬
A Rare Signal Is Activating: Bitcoin Ready To Explode
For the first time in eight months, the Hash Ribbon, a key indicator of Bitcoin miners’ health, has just issued a buy signal. A rare event, often a precursor to major reversals. As Bitcoin flirts with $87,492, this technical alert is accompanied by another signal: the break of a historic downtrend on the RSI. Coincidence? Not if you believe the experts.
Since July 2024, the Hash Ribbon had not flashed green. Its awakening on March 24 acts like an electric shock.
Created by Capriole Investments, this tool analyzes the cycles of miners through two moving averages of the hash rate (30 and 60 days). When the short average surpasses the long one, capitulations fade. Miners, previously strangled by declining profitability, are back in the game.
A signal that transcends charts. Historically, each activation of the Hash Ribbon has preceded major rallies.
In July 2024, Bitcoin was still struggling to find a floor, but the bullish movement ultimately swept away the skeptics. A similar scenario occurred in August 2023: after months of hesitation, the price took off.
Today, traders anticipate a repetition of the pattern. “This is a macro-bullish trend,” emphasizes Titan of Crypto on X.
The technological dynamics as an accelerator. Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget, observes a growing correlation between Bitcoin and tech values:
The recent rise in cryptocurrency-related stocks, alongside gains in Bitcoin and the Nasdaq, reflects the growing appetite for risk assets. BTC is now treated as a tech asset rather than just a hedge, driven by innovation and ETF adoption.
But that’s not all. In the shadow of the Hash Ribbon, another key indicator draws a metamorphosis: the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
On the weekly chart, a bullish divergence has formed for the first time since September. Translation? The selling momentum is fading, despite still timid prices.
On the daily chart, the RSI has breached a resistance that had been in place since November. “The multi-month downtrend is over,” confirms Rekt Capital , a technical analyst. A symbolic break, often interpreted as the prelude to a price acceleration.
For Bitcoin, it’s a relief after a disappointing first quarter of 2025, marked by erratic volatility. The convergence between Hash Ribbon and RSI is not insignificant. One validates the network’s strength, the other measures overbought or oversold conditions. Together, they form a coherent narrative: technical fundamentals and miner activity align for a recovery. The question remains whether institutional investors , often hesitant in times of doubt, will join the dance.
A rare ‘wolfdog’ named Cadabomb Okami has become the most expensive dog in the world after being sold in India for a record $5.7 million. This unique breed, a mix of a Caucasian Shepherd and a wolf, has never been sold before.
Celebrity dog breeder S Sathish, known for acquiring rare breeds, bought the wolfdog to introduce exclusive canines to India. He previously spent $3.25 million on a rare Chow Chow and owns over 150 dogs.
Sathish’s estate covers seven acres, with a dedicated team caring for his prized dogs. He also earns up to $2,800 per half-hour by showcasing his rare breeds.
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$BTC $ETH $SOL
Dormant whale awakens after 8 years, moves $250m worth of Bitcoin: Arkham
A long-dormant Bitcoin wallet has suddenly woken up after eight years of inactivity. According to blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence, the whale has moved over $250 million worth of Bitcoin.
The transactions were executed within the last 16 hours and show that the value of the holdings has appreciated from approximately $3 million in early 2017 to over $250 million today. Before yesterday’s transfers, the wallet had maintained its Bitcoin ( BTC ) in a single address for more than eight years.
$250M BITCOIN WHALE WAKES UP AFTER 8 YEARS A Bitcoin Whale that has held BTC since late 2016 has just moved over $250M in BTC last night. His Bitcoin stack went from $3M in early 2017 to over $250M today – and he’s held Bitcoin on one address for over 8 years. pic.twitter.com/RF1aewYVgy
The transactions, visible on Arkham’s monitoring dashboard, show the funds moving between several wallets labeled as “250M BTC Whale” addresses.
Specifically, the transactions took place in two batches about 14-16 hours ago, with each transfer involving approximately 3,000 BTC worth roughly $252 million per transfer.
According to the transaction history, the Bitcoin was originally purchased around 2016, when BTC traded at approximately $1,000 or lower.
Before these recent movements, the last transactions from these wallets occurred around 8 years ago, as shown by the timestamps in Arkham’s data—the early transactions from 2016 show the accumulation of Bitcoin when the cryptocurrency was less valuable.
The awakening of dormant wallets from Bitcoin’s earlier years has become increasingly rare. These events offer a glimpse into the major wealth creation experienced by early adopters who maintained their holdings through multiple market cycles.
While some long-term holders maintain their Bitcoin positions, industry experts are debating whether Bitcoin’s traditional four-year market cycle will be sustained into the future. Tomas Greif, Chief of Product & Strategy at Braiins, recently questioned the sustainability of these cycles:
Is the 4-year bitcoin cycle dead? Early on, halvings had a major supply impact. But as the majority of BTC has been mined, their effect is shrinking. In a couple of halvings, they will have a negligible effect on supply. I once tried to trade the cycle theory and got rekt.… pic.twitter.com/Z1zOZhAKy2
“Is the 4-year bitcoin cycle dead? Early on, halvings had a major supply impact. But as the majority of BTC has been mined, their effect is shrinking. In a couple of halvings, they will have a negligible effect on supply,” Greif noted.
He suggests that while historical patterns may continue as a “self-fulfilling prophecy,” the fundamental impact of halvings on Bitcoin’s supply disappears with each cycle. Greif emphasized that halvings will continue to affect Bitcoin mining economics regardless of market cycles.