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If Bitcoin breaks through $87,000, the cumulative short order liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach 474 million 2025-04-18 According to BlockBeats, on April 18, according to Coinglass data, if Bitcoin breaks through $87,000, the cumulative short order liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach 474 million. On the contrary, if Bitcoin falls below $83,000, the cumulative long order liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach 324 million. BlockBeats Note: The liquidation chart does not show the exact number of contracts to be liquidated, or the exact value of the contracts to be liquidated. The columns on the liquidation chart actually show the importance of each liquidation cluster relative to the adjacent liquidation clusters, that is, the strength. Therefore, the liquidation chart shows the extent to which the underlying price will be affected when it reaches a certain position. A higher "liquidation bar" means that the price will react more strongly to the liquidity wave after it reaches that position. BTC

FUN FACT: 🟠 Bitcoin holds a 63.85% market dominance over 40,000,000 💩-coins (including daddy shitcoin ethereum btw). $BTC

signal Alpha ..... Last week, Bitcoin traded in a 15.7% range before closing near $83,725—about 6.8% higher than the week's opening price. The altcoin marketcap dropped with Bitcoin, falling from $1.02 trillion to $1.03 billion. Keep an eye on these three coins with upcoming events as bulls attempt a rally to March 2025's monthly high. 1. Eigenlayer(EGIN) 2. Filecoin (FIL) 3. UXLINK(UXLINK) @msd

U.S. Jobless Claims Fall Below Expectations Amid Economic Uncertainty AI Summary According to Cointelegraph, the latest data on U.S. initial jobless claims revealed a figure of 215,000, which is below the anticipated 225,000 as of April 17, 2025. This decline suggests a stable labor market, with fewer individuals impacted by the ongoing uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs. Initial jobless claims serve as a crucial economic indicator, reflecting the health of the U.S. economy and influencing investor sentiment, particularly concerning risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC). The resilience in the labor market follows recent remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell regarding the effects of tariffs. During a press conference at the Economics Club of Chicago on April 16, Powell highlighted that the announced tariff increases are significantly larger than expected, likely leading to higher inflation and slower economic growth. He also emphasized that the Federal Reserve has no immediate plans to intervene with market bailouts or implement rate cuts, maintaining a cautious stance amid ongoing economic uncertainties. This aligns with his earlier comments from April 4, 2025, where he stated it was "too soon" to consider rate reductions. In contrast, the European Central Bank has responded to economic pressures from U.S. trade tariffs by reducing interest rates to 2.25% from 2.50%. This marks the ECB's seventh rate cut within a year, bringing borrowing costs to their lowest level since late 2022. Meanwhile, Bitcoin remains at a critical juncture, with the recent U.S. jobless claims data suggesting a bearish outlook in the short term for risk assets. A robust labor market diminishes the likelihood of rate cuts, which typically support speculative investments. Bitcoin prices have been consolidating within a narrow range, struggling to surpass the $86,000 mark. An anonymous crypto trader, Titan of Crypto, described Bitcoin as being at an "inflection point," where market direction or momentum could shift significantly. The trader noted that on the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin is contracting within a triangle pattern and is poised to choose a direction, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 50 and attempting to break resistance. Order flow trader Magus observed that Bitcoin is consolidating between $83,700 and $85,200, emphasizing that for bullish momentum to continue, Bitcoin must break above $85,000 soon. Failure to do so could signal potential bearish risks on the long-term chart. This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

There’s no single on-chain signal that’s "never wrong"—anyone claiming otherwise is oversimplifying. That said, one of the most reliable indicators I track is long-term holder (LTH) behavior, specifically when their supply starts moving after prolonged holding. Here’s why it’s powerful (but not infallible): 1. Long-Term Holder Supply Shifts What it measures: LTHs (wallets holding coins for 155+ days) are typically the most disciplined investors. When they start spending coins en masse, it often signals a market top. Conversely, when they accumulate aggressively during downtrends, it hints at a bottom. Why it works: LTHs are "smart money"—they buy low (during fear) and distribute high (during greed). Their movements are slow but statistically significant. Example: In 2021, LTH supply peaked before Bitcoin’s November top, then declined as they took profits. In bear markets, LTH accumulation often precedes rallies. 2. NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) + LTH Correlation For extra confirmation, I pair LTH movements with NUPL (the ratio of unrealized profit/loss across the network). When NUPL is in the "belief" or "euphoria" zone (high unrealized profit) and LTHs start selling, it’s a strong reversal signal. Why It’s Not "Never Wrong" Black swan events (e.g., regulatory shocks, exchange failures) can override on-chain logic. In bull markets, LTHs can keep holding longer than expected (e.g., Bitcoin ETF inflows in 2024 delayed distribution). Best Way to Use It Watch for divergences: If price makes new highs but LTH supply is falling, caution is warranted. Combine with exchange outflows (are coins moving to cold storage?) and SOPR (are coins being sold at a profit?). Bottom line: LTH behavior is one of the highest-probability signals, but always cross-check with other metrics (liquidation heatmaps, macro trends) for confirmation. No single indicator is perfect—context matters.