Cena Major FrogMAJOR

Bitcoin update 14.04.25 - 20.04.25: HTF: We had another weekly SFP and still haven’t closed below the February swing low — structure remains intact. Looking at the overall market, the 72k level is really the only key one left untouched, and it’s ironic that even a newspaper called it out weeks ago. Above, there’s not much liquidity until 100k, which means if price starts pushing toward those untouched HTF blocks, the move could come fast. A break beyond that would shift probabilities, but until then, it’s still the less likely scenario. From an HTF perspective, I’ve got nothing to do here until 72k gets taken. No reason to force HTF trades in a chop zone. MTF/LTF: MTF wise, we’re not really leaving any significant levels behind at the moment. There’s this one odd block that might offer a reaction for a refined LTF scalp — but outside of that, there’s simply nothing actionable in my playbook. The lack of clean levels below suggests one of two things: either there’s nothing left to fill in this zone, or — if price starts breaking lower — there won’t be much to stop it until we reach the range lows or that critical 72k level. Time-wise, we should be nearing a decision point. Orderflow/Sentiment: Orderflow on Bitcoin is clearly more bearish than on most altcoins, but it’s not exactly overheating with longs either. Each time a batch of longs gets flushed, the shorts that stacked up during this downtrend become obvious. And every time we approach range lows, people just keep shorting into them. Newsflow in crypto remains extremely bullish. With the 72k level still untouched, I remain cautious and keep some dry powder for further refined levels and leveraged swing longs — but let’s be real: All major key levels have been taken besides BTCs so to me this is no longer the time to be aggressively bearish looking at the overall market. Outlook: Exciting week ahead — with the U.S. tax deadline approaching and the infamous Titanic sinking anniversary lining up, volatility could stay elevated across tradfi and crypto. If you’re actively trading, it’s wise to managed your postions a bit more defensively in wild times like these. And if you’ve locked in solid gains over the past two weeks, don’t let overconfidence creep in — no need to give it all back. The market wears many faces and switches them fast to throw people off balance. For investors, stay grounded. Don’t let the real-world noise pull you off your plan. Trust your process. Trust your charts and stay prepared for every outcome. Wishing you all a focused and profitable week ahead, my friends. ✌️

​🚨 Trump's $SOL based #MemeCoin , $TRUMP, faces a critical moment with a $320M token unlock scheduled for April 18.​ This unlock will release 40 million tokens, adding approximately 20% to the current circulating supply. Following this, an additional 493,000 tokens (around $4 million) will be unlocked daily until the next major unlock in July. ​ The influx of tokens has raised concerns about potential price pressure. $TRUMP is currently trading at $8.27, down over 88% from its all-time high of $73.43 in January. ​ Investors are closely monitoring the situation, as the increased supply could impact the token's price dynamics

In this pod I hosted @DrPayFi from @humafinance - he raised a concept that I never thought of: PayFi being a major low-risk RWA asset class.Some highlights from the pod: we discussed Huma’s liquidation process (theoretically) and various operational hurdle in the actual business.

some new analysis on $BABY $BABY trading is showing signs of bearish market sentiment based on recent fund flow data. Within the last 15 minutes, the total buy volume stood at 1.08 million $BABY tokens, while sell volume edged higher at 1.17 million, resulting in a negative net flow of -93.37K tokens. This indicates that selling pressure slightly outweighs buying interest in the short term. Most notably, large transactions which are often driven by institutional or high-net-worth investors revealed a net outflow of -111.82K tokens. This is significant as it shows that the 'smart money' is currently exiting the market, signaling a lack of confidence in BABY’s near-term price action. The 5-day trend further strengthens this narrative, with a net outflow of -11.85 million $BABY tokens from large wallets, underlining sustained sell-side pressure from major holders. While medium-sized orders show a modest net inflow of 23.06K, suggesting some retail traders are still buying the dip, it’s not enough to offset the bearish impact of large-scale exits. Small trades also show a slight negative sentiment with -4.61K in net outflows, reinforcing a cautious retail outlook. The current market sentiment for $BABY leans bearish. Traders should be mindful of the downward pressure caused by large sell-offs and weak buy-side momentum. Unless large investors begin accumulating again, the token may continue to face resistance in gaining upward traction. Caution is advised for short-term traders, while long-term holders should monitor large inflow shifts for trend reversals. always remember to make research and do your analysis before trading and do well to trade cautiously

Meme coin season is a recurring, high-volatility phase in the crypto cycle where tokens with strong community narratives, humor, or viral appeal pump massively—often driven more by memetics and momentum than fundamentals. Understanding where $BABY fits into this trend can help you capitalize on it smartly. 1. $BABY’s Role: Legacy Meme with OG Appeal $BABY (Baby Doge Coin) launched in 2021 and rode the coattails of DOGE and SHIB. Unlike newer meme coins that explode purely from shock value or influencer hype, $BABY now sits in a unique hybrid position—it has OG status, a recognizable brand, and a reasonably strong community that resurges during each meme wave. It’s a second-wave meme coin, meaning it thrives after the initial wave of new memes dies down and traders rotate into "safer" meme bets with existing holders and liquidity. 2. Meme Coin Season Rotation Meme seasons usually start with new launches (like WIF, BONK, or PEPE clones), then rotate into midcaps like $FLOKI, $DOGE, and $BABY. So while $BABY might not lead the charge, it tends to benefit from rotational inflows once early meme coin traders take profit and look for familiar plays with strong branding and deeper liquidity. 3. Key Drivers for $BABY in Meme Seasons CEX Listings or Relistings: $BABY has been listed on several major exchanges. During meme hype, increased trading access often boosts its volume. Community Campaigns: The $BABY army runs trending hashtags and meme contests. Engagement spikes can trigger sharp, sudden pumps. Burn Mechanics: $BABY has employed aggressive token burns in the past. If the team reactivates this during meme season, it can amplify hype. 4. What to Watch For Volume Spikes on DEX/CEX and $BABY trending on Twitter/X Memecoin liquidity rotations after top movers peak On-chain whale accumulation in $BABY wallets Narrative stacking: If $BABY jumps on new trends (e.g., AI memes, dog family tie-ins, NFTs), it might catch another speculative wave. 5. Risk Profile Compared to Other Memes $BABY is less volatile than newly launched memes but also slower to 10x unless it catches coordinated attention. It’s more of a rotational safety meme than a degenerate moonshot—but that also means lower rug risk and more predictable liquidity. Conclusion: $BABY fits into meme coin season as a second-wave player—ideal for traders rotating out of low-liquidity, high-risk meme plays. Its established name and large holder base make it a likely beneficiary if the meme coin trend continues. It won’t lead, but it might ride the wave further than people expect. Want a real-time sentiment monitor or volume tracker for $BABY and other meme tokens this season? I can help build one.